The following prognosis are based on the representative surveys on national level of the EU28-countries.
You can inspect the polls and the institutes we use to calculate our prognosis on twitter. For detailed reports click here.
Analysis on treffpunkteuropa.
DATE | EPP | S&D | ALDE | GREEN | LEFT | ENF | ECR | EFD² | NI |
01.02.2016 | 191 | 186 | 79 | 27 | 69 | 50 | 85 | 39* | 23 |
30.06.2015 | 206 | 193 | 68 | 36 | 69 | 39* | 80 | 30* | 30 |
DATE | EPP | S&D | ALDE | GREEN | LEFT | EAF | ECR | EFD² | NI |
08.06.2015 | 200 | 188 | 81 | 38 | 70 | – | 73 | 31* | 69 |
31.05.2015 | 201 | 196 | 67 | 33 | 68 | – | 84 | 33* | 68 |
01.05.2015 | 218 | 196 | 75 | 31 | 74 | – | 71 | 34* | 52 |
28.04.2015 | 220 | 198 | 70 | 32 | 72 | – | 73 | 34* | 51 |
01.04.2015 | 220 | 201 | 68 | 31 | 67 | – | 75 | 32* | 58 |
01.03.2015 | 219 | 200 | 65 | 31 | 77 | – | 73 | 32* | 55 |
24.02.2015 | 223 | 200 | 62 | 36 | 74 | – | 69 | 34* | 53 |
21.02.2015 | 222 | 205 | 72 | 34 | 70 | – | 67 | 33* | 48 |
30.01.2015 | 220 | 206 | 71 | 32 | 67 | – | 69 | 34* | 51 |
29.01.2015 | 225 | 199 | 65 | 29 | 64 | – | 69 | 34* | 64 |
27.01.2015 | 225 | 198 | 65 | 29 | 61 | – | 75 | 34* | 65 |
26.01.2015 | 228 | 194 | 67 | 29 | 65 | – | 72 | 34* | 63 |
25.01.2015 | 225 | 201 | 67 | 29 | 61 | – | 71 | 35* | 63 |
23.01.2015 | 229 | 196 | 63 | 29 | 64 | – | 71 | 34* | 64 |
22.01.2015 | 229 | 197 | 63 | 31 | 63 | – | 69 | 35* | 64 |
21.01.2015 | 235 | 193 | 63 | 27 | 65 | – | 70 | 33* | 65 |
20.01.2015 | 233 | 193 | 65 | 31 | 62 | – | 68 | 35* | 64 |
19.01.2015 | 226 | 197 | 64 | 26 | 66 | – | 69 | 37* | 65 |
18.01.2015 | 227 | 195 | 71 | 31 | 72 | – | 68 | 35* | 53 |
17.01.2015 | 227 | 196 | 72 | 33 | 72 | – | 68 | 31* | 53 |
16.01.2015 | 221 | 201 | 70 | 34 | 72 | – | 70 | 34* | 50 |
15.01.2015 | 222 | 197 | 70 | 32 | 73 | – | 73 | 32* | 53 |
13.01.2015 | 213 | 200 | 70 | 32 | 74 | – | 73 | 33* | 57 |
10.01.2015 | 215 | 201 | 69 | 34 | 72 | – | 73 | 32* | 55 |
09.01.2015 | 216 | 203 | 69 | 32 | 72 | – | 74 | 32* | 54 |
08.01.2015 | 222 | 202 | 60 | 31 | 79 | – | 72 | 29* | 55 |
07.01.2015 | 223 | 199 | 61 | 32 | 78 | – | 72 | 30* | 56 |
06.01.2015 | 222 | 201 | 60 | 31 | 80 | – | 72 | 29* | 56 |
05.01.2015 | 222 | 200 | 60 | 31 | 80 | – | 71 | 32* | 56 |
04.01.2015 | 222 | 200 | 59 | 32 | 80 | – | 69 | 33* | 56 |
03.01.2015 | 219 | 197 | 65 | 33 | 79 | – | 70 | 33* | 55 |
02.01.2015 | 220 | 197 | 67 | 32 | 78 | – | 72 | 30* | 55 |
01.01.2015 | 221 | 198 | 65 | 31 | 76 | – | 71 | 33* | 55 |
30.12.2014 | 219 | 199 | 67 | 32 | 76 | – | 74 | 30* | 55 |
29.12.2014 | 220 | 197 | 69 | 33 | 74 | – | 75 | 29* | 55 |
28.12.2014 | 217 | 194 | 71 | 33 | 77 | – | 75 | 29* | 55 |
27.12.2014 | 220 | 195 | 70 | 33 | 76 | – | 75 | 29* | 55 |
24.12.2014 | 219 | 201 | 73 | 29 | 72 | – | 74 | 28* | 55 |
23.12.2014 | 221 | 199 | 70 | 30 | 72 | – | 75 | 28* | 56 |
22.12.2014 | 220 | 197 | 68 | 33 | 72 | – | 75 | 31* | 55 |
21.12.2014 | 213 | 205 | 69 | 33 | 69 | – | 75 | 33 | 54 |
20.12.2014 | 218 | 200 | 73 | 33 | 67 | – | 75 | 31 | 53 |
19.12.2014 | 219 | 198 | 71 | 32 | 71 | – | 75 | 31 | 54 |
08.12.2014 | 221 | 197 | 71 | 34 | 70 | – | 74 | 39 | 45 |
04.12.2014 | 218 | 198 | 70 | 34 | 70 | – | 75 | 37 | 49 |
03.12.2014 | 217 | 199 | 69 | 34 | 70 | – | 75 | 37 | 48 |
02.12.2014 | 220 | 197 | 72 | 35 | 70 | – | 71 | 37 | 49 |
01.12.2014 | 219 | 202 | 73 | 37 | 70 | – | 72 | 32 | 46 |
30.11.2014 | 220 | 203 | 73 | 36 | 70 | – | 72 | 31 | 46 |
29.11.2014 | 222 | 204 | 70 | 37 | 68 | – | 71 | 31 | 46 |
28.11.2014 | 226 | 201 | 72 | 38 | 67 | – | 70 | 30 | 47 |
21.11.2014 | 213 | 199 | 76 | 39 | 71 | – | 64 | 31 | 57 |
20.11.2014 | 215 | 199 | 76 | 39 | 69 | – | 63 | 30 | 58 |
19.11.2014 | 216 | 196 | 75 | 40 | 70 | – | 64 | 31 | 58 |
18.11.2014 | 211 | 196 | 75 | 41 | 73 | – | 64 | 32 | 58 |
17.11.2014 | 209 | 196 | 74 | 40 | 71 | – | 65 | 33 | 63 |
16.11.2014 | 208 | 205 | 71 | 40 | 65 | – | 65 | 33 | 63 |
15.11.2014 | 208 | 206 | 72 | 39 | 65 | – | 65 | 32 | 62 |
14.11.2014 | 207 | 203 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 66 | 34 | 62 |
13.11.2014 | 208 | 204 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 64 | 34 | 61 |
12.11.2014 | 208 | 203 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 65 | 34 | 61 |
11.11.2014 | 210 | 206 | 71 | 39 | 67 | – | 64 | 31 | 62 |
10.11.2014 | 215 | 200 | 73 | 35 | 69 | – | 65 | 33 | 59 |
09.11.2014 | 215 | 200 | 74 | 35 | 69 | – | 65 | 33 | 59 |
07.11.2014 | 209 | 198 | 78 | 40 | 65 | – | 66 | 33 | 60 |
06.11.2014 | 212 | 193 | 81 | 39 | 65 | – | 65 | 33 | 59 |
05.11.2014 | 212 | 196 | 81 | 38 | 65 | – | 65 | 34 | 59 |
04.11.2014 | 209 | 196 | 81 | 40 | 65 | – | 64 | 34 | 61 |
03.11.2014 | 209 | 194 | 80 | 39 | 66 | – | 67 | 34 | 62 |
02.11.2014 | 212 | 198 | 77 | 35 | 67 | – | 66 | 34 | 61 |
01.11.2014 | 212 | 197 | 77 | 37 | 66 | – | 67 | 34 | 61 |
30.10.2014 | 218 | 192 | 75 | 39 | 65 | – | 66 | 33 | 61 |
29.10.2014 | 213 | 194 | 75 | 39 | 65 | – | 66 | 36 | 61 |
28.10.2014 | 214 | 196 | 75 | 39 | 65 | – | 64 | 35 | 62 |
27.10.2014 | 214 | 197 | 74 | 39 | 65 | – | 63 | 36 | 62 |
26.10.2014 | 213 | 198 | 75 | 39 | 65 | – | 63 | 37 | 61 |
25.10.2014 | 212 | 198 | 76 | 39 | 61 | – | 64 | 37 | 62 |
24.10.2014 | 212 | 197 | 76 | 41 | 62 | – | 62 | 38 | 62 |
23.10.2014 | 211 | 198 | 75 | 40 | 63 | – | 64 | 38 | 62 |
22.10.2014 | 215 | 193 | 75 | 40 | 66 | – | 64 | 37 | 60 |
21.10.2014 | 212 | 197 | 76 | 39 | 63 | – | 63 | 37 | 63 |
DATE | EPP | S&D | ALDE | GREEN | LEFT | – | ECR | – | NI |
20.10.2014 | 214 | 196 | 76 | 38 | 60 | – | 63 | – | 103 |
19.10.2014 | 216 | 194 | 75 | 38 | 61 | – | 66 | – | 100 |
18.10.2014 | 214 | 202 | 76 | 37 | 61 | – | 66 | – | 94 |
17.10.2014 | 213 | 200 | 78 | 38 | 60 | – | 67 | – | 94 |
DATE | EPP | S&D | ALDE | GREEN | LEFT | – | ECR | EFDD | NI |
16.10.2014 | 215 | 200 | 77 | 39 | 61 | – | 67 | 41 | 50 |
15.10.2014 | 216 | 205 | 75 | 36 | 60 | – | 67 | 41 | 50 |
14.10.2014 | 216 | 206 | 75 | 36 | 60 | – | 67 | 39 | 51 |
13.10.2014 | 219 | 206 | 74 | 35 | 60 | – | 67 | 38 | 51 |
24.09.2014 | 218 | 198 | 77 | 38 | 63 | – | 66 | 39 | 51 |
23.09.2014 | 218 | 198 | 76 | 38 | 63 | – | 66 | 40 | 51 |
22.09.2014 | 219 | 202 | 75 | 36 | 61 | – | 67 | 40 | 50 |
21.09.2014 | 217 | 204 | 75 | 36 | 61 | – | 65 | 37 | 54 |
20.09.2014 | 218 | 204 | 75 | 36 | 61 | – | 64 | 37 | 54 |
19.09.2014 | 218 | 205 | 75 | 37 | 61 | – | 64 | 36 | 54 |
17.09.2014 | 215 | 209 | 70 | 39 | 61 | – | 64 | 37 | 54 |
16.09.2014 | 211 | 211 | 71 | 41 | 60 | – | 64 | 37 | 55 |
15.09.2014 | 215 | 210 | 70 | 39 | 60 | – | 65 | 37 | 55 |
10.09.2014 | 220 | 202 | 69 | 39 | 62 | – | 65 | 37 | 56 |
06.09.2014 | 215 | 204 | 69 | 39 | 63 | – | 67 | 37 | 55 |
05.09.2014 | 210 | 205 | 70 | 41 | 64 | – | 69 | 38 | 51 |
04.09.2014 | 212 | 205 | 71 | 40 | 66 | – | 65 | 40 | 50 |
03.09.2014 | 211 | 205 | 71 | 40 | 65 | – | 66 | 41 | 50 |
02.09.2014 | 212 | 207 | 72 | 39 | 65 | – | 64 | 41 | 50 |
01.09.2014 | 210 | 209 | 70 | 38 | 68 | – | 66 | 39 | 50 |
31.08.2014 | 206 | 209 | 71 | 38 | 70 | – | 66 | 38 | 50 |
30.08.2014 | 206 | 211 | 71 | 38 | 69 | – | 66 | 38 | 50 |
29.08.2014 | 206 | 211 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 65 | 39 | 50 |
28.08.2014 | 207 | 212 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 65 | 39 | 49 |
27.08.2014 | 207 | 211 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 65 | 39 | 49 |
26.08.2014 | 206 | 213 | 72 | 39 | 68 | – | 64 | 39 | 49 |
25.08.2014 | 204 | 209 | 73 | 39 | 67 | – | 69 | 40 | 48 |
24.08.2014 | 204 | 213 | 74 | 39 | 68 | – | 68 | 36 | 48 |
23.08.2014 | 204 | 213 | 74 | 39 | 68 | – | 68 | 36 | 48 |
22.08.2014 | 206 | 214 | 72 | 40 | 67 | – | 69 | 34 | 47 |
21.08.2014 | 206 | 214 | 71 | 40 | 67 | – | 69 | 34 | 47 |
20.08.2014 | 209 | 211 | 71 | 40 | 68 | – | 69 | 34 | 47 |
19.08.2014 | 208 | 212 | 72 | 40 | 68 | – | 68 | 34 | 47 |
18.08.2014 | 208 | 212 | 70 | 42 | 67 | – | 69 | 35 | 47 |
17.08.2014 | 208 | 208 | 72 | 42 | 68 | – | 66 | 38 | 47 |
16.08.2014 | 209 | 209 | 71 | 41 | 68 | – | 70 | 35 | 47 |
15.08.2014 | 208 | 209 | 71 | 39 | 68 | – | 71 | 35 | 48 |
14.08.2014 | 211 | 207 | 72 | 40 | 68 | – | 71 | 34 | 48 |
13.08.2014 | 210 | 210 | 71 | 41 | 68 | – | 69 | 33 | 48 |
12.08.2014 | 210 | 210 | 71 | 41 | 68 | – | 69 | 33 | 48 |
11.08.2014 | 214 | 211 | 68 | 37 | 60 | – | 72 | 33 | 55 |
10.08.2014 | 214 | 211 | 67 | 37 | 60 | – | 72 | 33 | 55 |
09.08.2014 | 211 | 202 | 71 | 42 | 64 | – | 72 | 33 | 54 |
08.08.2014 | 211 | 203 | 71 | 43 | 64 | – | 70 | 34 | 54 |
07.08.2014 | 212 | 201 | 71 | 43 | 64 | – | 70 | 34 | 54 |
06.08.2014 | 211 | 203 | 68 | 43 | 65 | – | 69 | 36 | 54 |
05.08.2014 | 213 | 195 | 71 | 43 | 66 | – | 69 | 39 | 53 |
04.08.2014 | 214 | 197 | 73 | 39 | 63 | – | 74 | 36 | 53 |
03.08.2014 | 212 | 200 | 74 | 41 | 59 | – | 74 | 37 | 53 |
02.08.2014 | 212 | 198 | 74 | 41 | 60 | – | 74 | 37 | 53 |
01.08.2014 | 212 | 198 | 74 | 41 | 60 | – | 74 | 36 | 53 |
31.07.2014 | 212 | 198 | 71 | 48 | 56 | – | 74 | 36 | 54 |
30.07.2014 | 210 | 201 | 71 | 48 | 56 | – | 73 | 37 | 53 |
29.07.2014 | 216 | 197 | 69 | 48 | 57 | – | 70 | 38 | 54 |
28.07.2014 | 212 | 198 | 70 | 48 | 60 | – | 72 | 35 | 54 |
27.07.2014 | 212 | 198 | 70 | 48 | 60 | – | 72 | 35 | 54 |
26.07.2014 | 210 | 199 | 71 | 48 | 60 | – | 73 | 36 | 54 |
25.07.2014 | 211 | 199 | 68 | 47 | 61 | – | 70 | 38 | 54 |
24.07.2014 | 211 | 199 | 69 | 47 | 61 | – | 70 | 38 | 54 |
23.07.2014 | 207 | 198 | 71 | 46 | 61 | – | 73 | 38 | 54 |
22.07.2014 | 204 | 201 | 70 | 48 | 60 | – | 70 | 41 | 54 |
21.07.2014 | 204 | 200 | 72 | 47 | 60 | – | 73 | 39 | 54 |
20.07.2014 | 204 | 200 | 72 | 47 | 60 | – | 73 | 39 | 54 |
19.07.2014 | 209 | 201 | 73 | 46 | 56 | – | 74 | 36 | 53 |
18.07.2014 | 211 | 208 | 73 | 46 | 55 | – | 71 | 36 | 54 |
17.07.2014 | 208 | 203 | 73 | 47 | 55 | – | 72 | 35 | 55 |
16.07.2014 | 209 | 202 | 72 | 47 | 56 | – | 72 | 35 | 55 |
15.07.2014 | 209 | 193 | 79 | 48 | 61 | – | 71 | 33 | 58 |
10.07.2014 | 217 | 197 | 74 | 48 | 57 | – | 69 | 34 | 56 |
09.07.2014 | 217 | 195 | 74 | 47 | 57 | – | 71 | 34 | 56 |
08.07.2014 | 216 | 197 | 74 | 46 | 57 | – | 71 | 34 | 56 |
07.07.2014 | 216 | 199 | 74 | 47 | 57 | – | 68 | 34 | 56 |
06.07.2014 | 214 | 200 | 75 | 47 | 56 | – | 66 | 37 | 56 |
05.07.2014 | 215 | 195 | 77 | 48 | 60 | – | 68 | 35 | 55 |
04.07.2014 | 214 | 195 | 77 | 48 | 60 | – | 68 | 35 | 55 |
03.07.2014 | 217 | 194 | 75 | 48 | 60 | – | 70 | 32 | 55 |
02.07.2014 | 215 | 193 | 74 | 48 | 60 | – | 67 | 38 | 54 |
01.07.2014 | 213 | 197 | 75 | 47 | 61 | – | 72 | 32 | 54 |
30.06.2014 | 215 | 195 | 74 | 48 | 60 | – | 68 | 36 | 54 |
27.06.2014 | 214 | 194 | 75 | 47 | 60 | – | 71 | 35 | 55 |
26.06.2014 | 214 | 195 | 74 | 47 | 60 | – | 70 | 35 | 56 |
25.06.2014 | 212 | 194 | 74 | 50 | 60 | – | 66 | 37 | 58 |
24.06.2014 | 208 | 195 | 74 | 50 | 60 | – | 66 | 37 | 58 |
EPP | S&D | ALDE | GREEN | LEFT | EAF | ECR | EFD | FL | |
23.06.2014 | 207 | 197 | 76 | 47 | 60 | 37 | 69 | 38 | 18 |
22.06.2014 | 201 | 195 | 80 | 51 | 60 | 37 | 65 | 42 | 17 |
21.06.2014 | 201 | 197 | 80 | 51 | 59 | 37 | 63 | 44 | 17 |
20.06.2014 | 200 | 197 | 81 | 53 | 59 | 37 | 65 | 39 | 17 |
19.06.2014 | 204 | 195 | 81 | 52 | 61 | 37 | 66 | 39 | 16 |
18.06.2014 | 204 | 191 | 82 | 53 | 64 | 37 | 64 | 39 | 16 |
17.06.2014 | 213 | 189 | 82 | 53 | 61 | 41 | 62 | 40 | 9 |
16.06.2014 | 213 | 192 | 81 | 54 | 60 | 41 | 61 | 39 | 9 |
15.06.2014 | 213 | 192 | 81 | 52 | 61 | 41 | 64 | 38 | 9 |
06.06.2014 | 211 | 195 | 76 | 57 | 53 | 45 | 61 | 44 | 9 |
05.06.2014 | 210 | 196 | 78 | 60 | 53 | 43 | 59 | 44 | 9 |
25.05.2014 | 221 | 191 | 67 | 50 | 52 | – | 70 | 48 | 52 |
07.06.2009 | 265 | 184 | 84 | 55 | 35 | – | 54 | 32 | 27 |
DATE | EPP | S&D | ALDE | GREEN | LEFT | – | UEN | EFD | NI |
13.06.2004 | 268 | 200 | 88 | 42 | 41 | – | 27 | 37 | 29 |
DATE | EPP/ED | PES | ELDR | GREEN | LEFT | TDI | UEN | IND/DEM | NI |
13.06.1999 | 233 | 180 | 50 | 48 | 42 | 18 | 30 | 16 | 9 |
DATE | EPP/ED | PES | ELDR | GREEN | LEFT | – | RDE/FE | EDD | NI |
13.06.1994 | 156 | 198 | 44 | 42 | 28 | – | 26 | 46 | 27 |
DATE | EPP | PES | LDR | GREEN | LEFT | DR | RDE | I-EN | NI |
18.06.1989 | 121 | 180 | 49 | 43 | 28 | 17 | 54 | – | 12 |
DATE | EPP | SOZ | L | GREEN | LEFT | ER | RDE | EN | NI |
17.06.1984 | 110 | 130 | 31 | 20 | 41 | 16 | 79 | – | 7 |
DATE | EPP | SOZ | L | GREEN | LEFT | – | EDA | – | NI |
10.06.1979 | 108 | 112 | 40 | 11 | 44 | – | 85 | – | 10 |
If you are looking for the trends of the eurozone only click here.
* would not reach the quorum of 7 national parties to form a faction